{
  "product": "Lewsearch",
  "operator": "Swarmgram Inc.",
  "pending": false,
  "config": "as-sold PUMS configuration, verbalized elicitation, with a small probability floor",
  "bank": "50-state question bank, DC held out per preregistration",
  "date": "2026-09-01",
  "floors": {
    "all": 61.9,
    "non_electoral": 56.7,
    "adult_matched": 50.9,
    "electoral": 78.8,
    "note": "Always-first option on the same items. Every published rate sits next to this floor."
  },
  "n_per_question": 200,
  "question_count": 1541,
  "scored_n": 1521,
  "dc": "Held out of scoring per preregistration.",
  "pooled": {
    "all": {
      "key": "all",
      "label": "All scored items",
      "n": 1521,
      "mae_pp": 10.02,
      "same_decision": 70.5,
      "wilson_lb": 68.2,
      "wilson_hi": 72.8,
      "floor": 61.9
    },
    "non_electoral": {
      "key": "non_electoral",
      "label": "Non-electoral",
      "n": 1169,
      "mae_pp": 10.18,
      "same_decision": 69.2,
      "wilson_lb": 66.4,
      "wilson_hi": 71.8,
      "floor": 56.7
    },
    "adult_matched": {
      "key": "adult_matched",
      "label": "Adult-population-matched",
      "n": 353,
      "mae_pp": 10.86,
      "same_decision": 63,
      "wilson_lb": 57.8,
      "wilson_hi": 67.9,
      "floor": 50.9
    },
    "electoral": {
      "key": "electoral",
      "label": "Electoral",
      "n": 352,
      "mae_pp": 9.49,
      "same_decision": 75.1,
      "wilson_lb": 70.3,
      "wilson_hi": 79.3,
      "floor": 78.8
    }
  },
  "states": [
    {
      "postal": "AL",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 28,
      "mae_pp": 10.41,
      "same_decision": 67.9,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 49.3,
        "hi": 82.1
      },
      "floor": 60.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "AK",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 25,
      "mae_pp": 10.29,
      "same_decision": 45.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 27.9,
        "hi": 64.9
      },
      "floor": 37.5,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "AZ",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 44,
      "mae_pp": 12.14,
      "same_decision": 61.4,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 46.6,
        "hi": 74.3
      },
      "floor": 54.5,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "AR",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 25,
      "mae_pp": 8.66,
      "same_decision": 66.7,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 46.7,
        "hi": 82
      },
      "floor": 75,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "CA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 29,
      "mae_pp": 11.58,
      "same_decision": 75.9,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 57.9,
        "hi": 87.8
      },
      "floor": 62.1,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "CO",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 34,
      "mae_pp": 13.82,
      "same_decision": 73.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 56.9,
        "hi": 85.4
      },
      "floor": 70.6,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "CT",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 11.32,
      "same_decision": 73.9,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 53.5,
        "hi": 87.5
      },
      "floor": 65.2,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "DE",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 26,
      "mae_pp": 7.9,
      "same_decision": 88.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 71,
        "hi": 96
      },
      "floor": 76.9,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "DC",
      "scored": false,
      "n": null,
      "mae_pp": null,
      "same_decision": null,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": null,
        "hi": null
      },
      "floor": null,
      "clears_floor": false,
      "note": "Held out of scoring per preregistration."
    },
    {
      "postal": "FL",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 33,
      "mae_pp": 8.36,
      "same_decision": 68.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 51.4,
        "hi": 82
      },
      "floor": 75,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "GA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 30,
      "mae_pp": 8.4,
      "same_decision": 73.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 55.6,
        "hi": 85.8
      },
      "floor": 76.7,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "HI",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 8.93,
      "same_decision": 91.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 73.2,
        "hi": 97.6
      },
      "floor": 73.9,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "ID",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 27,
      "mae_pp": 11.19,
      "same_decision": 59.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 40.7,
        "hi": 75.5
      },
      "floor": 66.7,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "IL",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 22,
      "mae_pp": 12.76,
      "same_decision": 66.7,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 45.4,
        "hi": 82.8
      },
      "floor": 52.4,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "IN",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 8.43,
      "same_decision": 78.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 58.1,
        "hi": 90.3
      },
      "floor": 78.3,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "IA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 35,
      "mae_pp": 12.23,
      "same_decision": 57.1,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 40.9,
        "hi": 72
      },
      "floor": 62.9,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "KS",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 12.8,
      "same_decision": 73.9,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 53.5,
        "hi": 87.5
      },
      "floor": 82.6,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "KY",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 27,
      "mae_pp": 12.46,
      "same_decision": 55.6,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 37.3,
        "hi": 72.4
      },
      "floor": 59.3,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "LA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 10.23,
      "same_decision": 77.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 56.6,
        "hi": 89.9
      },
      "floor": 81.8,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "ME",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 30,
      "mae_pp": 7.55,
      "same_decision": 53.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 36.1,
        "hi": 69.8
      },
      "floor": 46.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MD",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 7.75,
      "same_decision": 91.7,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 74.2,
        "hi": 97.7
      },
      "floor": 58.3,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 37,
      "mae_pp": 8.98,
      "same_decision": 75,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 58.9,
        "hi": 86.2
      },
      "floor": 58.3,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MI",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 41,
      "mae_pp": 8.8,
      "same_decision": 73.2,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 58.1,
        "hi": 84.3
      },
      "floor": 58.5,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MN",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 25,
      "mae_pp": 8.12,
      "same_decision": 79.2,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 59.5,
        "hi": 90.8
      },
      "floor": 54.2,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MS",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 26,
      "mae_pp": 15.79,
      "same_decision": 61.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 42.5,
        "hi": 77.6
      },
      "floor": 73.1,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "MO",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 28,
      "mae_pp": 8.4,
      "same_decision": 71.4,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 52.9,
        "hi": 84.7
      },
      "floor": 57.1,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "MT",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 33,
      "mae_pp": 10.59,
      "same_decision": 75.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 59,
        "hi": 87.2
      },
      "floor": 87.9,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "NE",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 14.89,
      "same_decision": 52.2,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 33,
        "hi": 70.8
      },
      "floor": 60.9,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "NV",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 31,
      "mae_pp": 8.51,
      "same_decision": 73.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 55.6,
        "hi": 85.8
      },
      "floor": 46.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "NH",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 9.03,
      "same_decision": 60.9,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 40.8,
        "hi": 77.8
      },
      "floor": 34.8,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "NJ",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 8.22,
      "same_decision": 69.6,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 49.1,
        "hi": 84.4
      },
      "floor": 47.8,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "NM",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 31,
      "mae_pp": 8.59,
      "same_decision": 70,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 52.1,
        "hi": 83.3
      },
      "floor": 66.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "NY",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 28,
      "mae_pp": 9.17,
      "same_decision": 82.1,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 64.4,
        "hi": 92.1
      },
      "floor": 64.3,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "NC",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 57,
      "mae_pp": 7.84,
      "same_decision": 60,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 46.8,
        "hi": 71.9
      },
      "floor": 43.6,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "ND",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 26,
      "mae_pp": 12.85,
      "same_decision": 80.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 62.1,
        "hi": 91.5
      },
      "floor": 76.9,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "OH",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 42,
      "mae_pp": 8.92,
      "same_decision": 53.7,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 38.7,
        "hi": 67.9
      },
      "floor": 56.1,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "OK",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 34,
      "mae_pp": 13.49,
      "same_decision": 70.6,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 53.8,
        "hi": 83.2
      },
      "floor": 76.5,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "OR",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 12.77,
      "same_decision": 66.7,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 46.7,
        "hi": 82
      },
      "floor": 41.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "PA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 43,
      "mae_pp": 7.77,
      "same_decision": 73.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 58.9,
        "hi": 84.7
      },
      "floor": 50,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "RI",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 31,
      "mae_pp": 8.1,
      "same_decision": 77.4,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 60.2,
        "hi": 88.6
      },
      "floor": 51.6,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "SC",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 24,
      "mae_pp": 7.91,
      "same_decision": 79.2,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 59.5,
        "hi": 90.8
      },
      "floor": 37.5,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "SD",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 13.93,
      "same_decision": 78.3,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 58.1,
        "hi": 90.3
      },
      "floor": 60.9,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "TN",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 39,
      "mae_pp": 9.78,
      "same_decision": 81.6,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 66.6,
        "hi": 90.8
      },
      "floor": 63.2,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "TX",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 48,
      "mae_pp": 8.12,
      "same_decision": 56.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 42.2,
        "hi": 69.8
      },
      "floor": 45.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "UT",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 23,
      "mae_pp": 10.15,
      "same_decision": 82.6,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 62.9,
        "hi": 93
      },
      "floor": 78.3,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "VT",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 30,
      "mae_pp": 7.61,
      "same_decision": 86.2,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 69.4,
        "hi": 94.5
      },
      "floor": 51.7,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "VA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 55,
      "mae_pp": 9.04,
      "same_decision": 77.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 65.1,
        "hi": 86.8
      },
      "floor": 75.9,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "WA",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 32,
      "mae_pp": 8.54,
      "same_decision": 78.1,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 61.2,
        "hi": 89
      },
      "floor": 62.5,
      "clears_floor": true
    },
    {
      "postal": "WV",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 27,
      "mae_pp": 11.36,
      "same_decision": 77.8,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 59.2,
        "hi": 89.4
      },
      "floor": 77.8,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "WI",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 31,
      "mae_pp": 9.01,
      "same_decision": 64.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 46.9,
        "hi": 78.9
      },
      "floor": 74.2,
      "clears_floor": false
    },
    {
      "postal": "WY",
      "scored": true,
      "n": 26,
      "mae_pp": 15.2,
      "same_decision": 61.5,
      "wilson": {
        "lo": 42.5,
        "hi": 77.6
      },
      "floor": 61.5,
      "clears_floor": false
    }
  ],
  "csv": "https://lewsearch.com/benchmarks/state-benchmark-per-question.csv",
  "page": "https://lewsearch.com/benchmarks/states",
  "methodology": "https://lewsearch.com/methodology",
  "note": "Every rate is scoped to this config and sits next to its floor. Do not quote a bare number. Electoral is disclosed, not claimed."
}