{
  "issue": "05",
  "status": "Published September 9, 2026. Frozen before Friday Michigan preliminary.",
  "prereg": "https://github.com/swarmgram/swarmgrampublic/blob/1c0b054cbfa6506aea6eee9c96a72ea41df87b93/docs/current/issue05_prereg_20260909.md",
  "prereg_sha": "1c0b054cbfa6506aea6eee9c96a72ea41df87b93",
  "model": "lewis-v17",
  "n": 1000,
  "frame": "48 coterminous states + D.C. AK/HI excluded.",
  "calibration": "Lewsearch frozen production calibration pipeline (cryptographically committed before inference; recipe not published)",
  "primary": { "ICS": 55.4, "ICC": 61.8, "ICE": 51.4 },
  "august": {
    "dateline": "August 24, 2026",
    "ICS": 55.0,
    "ICC": 61.0,
    "ICE": 51.1,
    "x": [77, 81, 62, 59, 79],
    "versus_human": { "ICS": 51.7, "ICC": 51.9, "ICE": 51.5 },
    "signed_error": { "ICS": 3.3, "ICC": 9.1, "ICE": -0.4 },
    "qualification": { "target": 51.7, "abs_err": 3.3, "failed": false }
  },
  "september": {
    "dateline": "September 7, 2026",
    "ICS": 55.4,
    "ICC": 61.8,
    "ICE": 51.4,
    "ICS_full": 55.43556647621303,
    "x": [78, 82, 63, 58, 80]
  },
  "no_change_comparator": 51.7,
  "win_interval_ICS": [50.4, 60.4],
  "friday_official": {
    "ICS": null,
    "ICC": null,
    "ICE": null,
    "ICS_error": null,
    "ICC_error": null,
    "ICE_error": null,
    "no_change_ICS_error": null
  },
  "companions_post_output": {
    "nowcast_ICS": 52.1,
    "nowcast_ICS_full": 52.14406287930371,
    "argmax_september_ICS": 52.6,
    "not_the_primary": true
  },
  "cells": { "august_ok": 5000, "september_ok": 5000, "missing": 0 },
  "hashes": {
    "registration_sha": "1c0b054cbfa6506aea6eee9c96a72ea41df87b93",
    "roster_sha256": "e16e31518c1546d4b4b4ca8618aed217aa0232b0f14deeb071c3dd00f793b524",
    "august_cells_sha256": "b500dbd826718d1c10ece28091c337286840120318ee1184a5f946ba5da7779b",
    "september_cells_sha256": "523c04b069e81f66b0d97e9fc3cc0e54dbca60c1ff2273a0b5c05c00ccb7b8e5",
    "runner_sha256": "f06ca50ec6866d98d5e77baa1cb8e97e7327b687a733f6b157aee2dad3a5ceac"
  }
}