{
  "study": "Waymo robotaxi expansion — U.S. national panel (reactive)",
  "news_hook": "LinkedIn News: Waymo expands again as robotaxi rivals fall behind (July 9, 2026)",
  "run_started_at": "2026-07-09T14:26:25.401Z",
  "run_finished_at": "2026-07-09T14:29:58.211Z",
  "audience": {
    "label": "U.S. national ACS-weighted panel (national_us)",
    "market_id": "national_us",
    "n_requested": 2000,
    "n_sampled": 2000,
    "pct_with_persistent_beliefs": 100,
    "confidence_class": "benchmarked",
    "disclosure": "ACS-weighted synthetic U.S. adults. Synthetic panel methodology; not a probability sample. Reactive news read, not investment or safety advice."
  },
  "methodology": {
    "model": "lewis-v17",
    "pipeline": "sampleAgentsForMarket(national_us) → buildStandardStudyContext (Sonnet + Brave) → dateline + news stimulus → runWave → applyTypeCalibration",
    "temporal_grounding": [
      "Today is Thursday, July 9, 2026.",
      "News context: Waymo is expanding its fleet of driverless robotaxis into four new U.S. cities: San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver. Alphabet employees will get access first, then the general public. Industry coverage says Waymo's top competitors, Tesla and Amazon's Zoox, are falling behind in actually delivering driverless ride services.",
      "Sonnet local brief per question (LEWIS_SONNET_CONTEXT=1)"
    ],
    "calibration": "classifyQuestionType + Dirichlet applyTypeCalibration"
  },
  "questions": [
    {
      "id": "q1_waymo_expansion",
      "question": "Waymo is adding driverless rides in San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver while rivals like Tesla and Zoox lag. Which comes closest to your view?",
      "options": [
        "Waymo is clearly ahead in actually delivering robotaxis",
        "Promising tech, but moving too fast on safety",
        "Overhyped — most people won't use this",
        "Too early to tell who wins",
        "Don't know enough to say"
      ],
      "question_type": "local_niche",
      "n_responses": 2000,
      "context": {
        "dateline": "Today is Thursday, July 9, 2026.",
        "news_stimulus": "News context: Waymo is expanding its fleet of driverless robotaxis into four new U.S. cities: San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver. Alphabet employees will get access first, then the general public. Industry coverage says Waymo's top competitors, Tesla and Amazon's Zoox, are falling behind in actually delivering driverless ride services.",
        "sonnet_brief": "Waymo is Google's autonomous vehicle division that has been developing self-driving car technology since 2009 and currently operates commercial robotaxi services in select U.S. cities. The company uses a combination of sensors, cameras, and mapping technology to enable vehicles to navigate without human drivers. Waymo competes with other tech companies and automakers in the emerging autonomous vehicle market, including Tesla's Full Self-Driving system and Amazon-backed Zoox. The autonomous vehicle industry has faced ongoing debates about safety protocols, regulatory approval processes, and the timeline for widespread deployment. Supporters view autonomous vehicles as potentially safer than human drivers and beneficial for mobility access, while critics raise concerns about technology readiness, job displacement for drivers, and the adequacy of current safety testing standards.",
        "brand_context_used": false
      },
      "distribution_calibrated": [
        {
          "option": "Waymo is clearly ahead in actually delivering robotaxis",
          "count": 1845,
          "pct": 92.2
        },
        {
          "option": "Promising tech, but moving too fast on safety",
          "count": 90,
          "pct": 4.5
        },
        {
          "option": "Overhyped — most people won't use this",
          "count": 34,
          "pct": 1.7
        },
        {
          "option": "Too early to tell who wins",
          "count": 25,
          "pct": 1.3
        },
        {
          "option": "Don't know enough to say",
          "count": 6,
          "pct": 0.3
        }
      ],
      "crosstabs": {
        "party": [
          {
            "label": "Democrat",
            "dist": [
              86,
              5.7,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              86.5,
              5.2,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Republican",
            "dist": [
              85.1,
              6.6,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ],
        "age": [
          {
            "label": "18–34",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 626
          },
          {
            "label": "35–54",
            "dist": [
              86.8,
              4.9,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 618
          },
          {
            "label": "55+",
            "dist": [
              81,
              10.6,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 756
          }
        ],
        "gender": [
          {
            "label": "Men",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 954
          },
          {
            "label": "Women",
            "dist": [
              81.6,
              10.1,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 1046
          }
        ],
        "income": [
          {
            "label": "Under $25k",
            "dist": [
              83.6,
              8.1,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 470
          },
          {
            "label": "$25k–$75k",
            "dist": [
              83.4,
              8.3,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 681
          },
          {
            "label": "$75k–$150k",
            "dist": [
              87.5,
              4.2,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 396
          },
          {
            "label": "$150k+",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 453
          }
        ],
        "education": [
          {
            "label": "HS or less",
            "dist": [
              85.2,
              6.5,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 752
          },
          {
            "label": "Some college",
            "dist": [
              86.7,
              5,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 494
          },
          {
            "label": "College grad",
            "dist": [
              86.5,
              5.2,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 421
          },
          {
            "label": "Post-grad",
            "dist": [
              86.5,
              5.2,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 333
          }
        ],
        "party_group": [
          {
            "label": "Dem/lean D",
            "dist": [
              93.8,
              6.2,
              0,
              0,
              0
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              93.6,
              5.6,
              0,
              0,
              0.8
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Rep/lean R",
            "dist": [
              92.4,
              7.2,
              0.2,
              0,
              0.3
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ]
      },
      "signal": {
        "signal_score": 0.4,
        "signal_label": "Moderate",
        "signal_bars": 2,
        "reliability_score": 0.4,
        "reliability_label": "Medium",
        "reliability_tooltip": "Some demographic divergence detected — interpret with context.",
        "clarity_score": 0.4,
        "clarity_label": "Uncertain",
        "clarity_tooltip": "Result concentrated on one option with weak demographic variation — likely a low-anchor question. Rephrase or add distinctive options before relying on the read.",
        "within_moe": false,
        "dominant_result": true,
        "not_sure_top": false
      },
      "elapsed_s": 75.4
    },
    {
      "id": "q2_would_use",
      "question": "If a fully driverless taxi service like Waymo came to your area, how likely would you be to use it?",
      "options": [
        "Very likely",
        "Somewhat likely",
        "Not very likely",
        "Not at all likely",
        "Not sure"
      ],
      "question_type": "policy",
      "n_responses": 2000,
      "context": {
        "dateline": "Today is Thursday, July 9, 2026.",
        "news_stimulus": "News context: Waymo is expanding its fleet of driverless robotaxis into four new U.S. cities: San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver. Alphabet employees will get access first, then the general public. Industry coverage says Waymo's top competitors, Tesla and Amazon's Zoox, are falling behind in actually delivering driverless ride services.",
        "sonnet_brief": "Waymo is Google's autonomous vehicle division that operates fully driverless taxi services in select U.S. cities, using cars equipped with sensors, cameras, and artificial intelligence to navigate without human drivers. The company has been testing and deploying these vehicles since the mid-2010s, currently offering rides to paying customers in parts of Phoenix, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Autonomous vehicle technology represents a significant shift in transportation policy, with supporters typically including tech companies, urban planners, and disability advocates who emphasize potential benefits like reduced traffic accidents, increased mobility for those unable to drive, and more efficient transportation systems. Critics often include traditional taxi drivers, some labor unions, and safety advocates who raise concerns about job displacement, technological reliability, cybersecurity risks, and the readiness of current AI systems to handle complex driving scenarios.",
        "brand_context_used": false
      },
      "distribution_calibrated": [
        {
          "option": "Very likely",
          "count": 70,
          "pct": 3.5
        },
        {
          "option": "Somewhat likely",
          "count": 905,
          "pct": 45.2
        },
        {
          "option": "Not very likely",
          "count": 960,
          "pct": 48
        },
        {
          "option": "Not at all likely",
          "count": 57,
          "pct": 2.9
        },
        {
          "option": "Not sure",
          "count": 8,
          "pct": 0.4
        }
      ],
      "crosstabs": {
        "party": [
          {
            "label": "Democrat",
            "dist": [
              6.7,
              55.6,
              31.9,
              2.9,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              2.8,
              44.1,
              47.3,
              2.9,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Republican",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              27.1,
              61.3,
              5.8,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ],
        "age": [
          {
            "label": "18–34",
            "dist": [
              6.9,
              58.3,
              29.1,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 626
          },
          {
            "label": "35–54",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              44.8,
              46.4,
              3.1,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 618
          },
          {
            "label": "55+",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              30.2,
              57.4,
              6.7,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 756
          }
        ],
        "gender": [
          {
            "label": "Men",
            "dist": [
              4.1,
              44.3,
              45.8,
              2.9,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 954
          },
          {
            "label": "Women",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              44,
              45.6,
              4.5,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 1046
          }
        ],
        "income": [
          {
            "label": "Under $25k",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              23.3,
              63.5,
              7.5,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 470
          },
          {
            "label": "$25k–$75k",
            "dist": [
              2.8,
              35.1,
              55.2,
              4,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 681
          },
          {
            "label": "$75k–$150k",
            "dist": [
              2.8,
              54.4,
              37.1,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 396
          },
          {
            "label": "$150k+",
            "dist": [
              12.1,
              66,
              16.2,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 453
          }
        ],
        "education": [
          {
            "label": "HS or less",
            "dist": [
              2.9,
              32.8,
              55.3,
              6.2,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 752
          },
          {
            "label": "Some college",
            "dist": [
              3.3,
              45,
              45,
              3.7,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 494
          },
          {
            "label": "College grad",
            "dist": [
              4.3,
              53.3,
              36.7,
              2.9,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 421
          },
          {
            "label": "Post-grad",
            "dist": [
              7.1,
              54,
              33.2,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 333
          }
        ],
        "party_group": [
          {
            "label": "Dem/lean D",
            "dist": [
              7,
              57.7,
              33.1,
              2.2,
              0
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              0.3,
              46.7,
              50,
              3.1,
              0
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Rep/lean R",
            "dist": [
              1.5,
              28.3,
              64.1,
              6.1,
              0
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ]
      },
      "signal": {
        "signal_score": 0.4264755673526842,
        "signal_label": "Moderate",
        "signal_bars": 2,
        "reliability_score": 0.58,
        "reliability_label": "Medium",
        "reliability_tooltip": "Some demographic divergence detected — interpret with context.",
        "clarity_score": 0.23883459411707603,
        "clarity_label": "Polarized",
        "clarity_tooltip": "Top two options are near-tied. This is itself a signal — contested terrain worth tracking.",
        "within_moe": true,
        "dominant_result": false,
        "not_sure_top": false
      },
      "elapsed_s": 66.7
    },
    {
      "id": "q3_why_ahead",
      "question": "Reports say Tesla and Amazon's Zoox are falling behind Waymo in robotaxis. What do you think is the MAIN reason?",
      "options": [
        "Waymo has been at it longer and is more cautious",
        "Alphabet's money and patience",
        "Regulators are giving Waymo a pass",
        "The whole category is still too early to rank winners",
        "Don't know enough to say"
      ],
      "question_type": "policy",
      "n_responses": 2000,
      "context": {
        "dateline": "Today is Thursday, July 9, 2026.",
        "news_stimulus": "News context: Waymo is expanding its fleet of driverless robotaxis into four new U.S. cities: San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver. Alphabet employees will get access first, then the general public. Industry coverage says Waymo's top competitors, Tesla and Amazon's Zoox, are falling behind in actually delivering driverless ride services.",
        "sonnet_brief": "Robotaxis are self-driving vehicles that operate as autonomous ride-hailing services without human drivers. Several major technology companies are developing these systems, including Waymo (owned by Google's parent company Alphabet), Tesla (Elon Musk's electric vehicle company), and Zoox (acquired by Amazon in 2020). Waymo has been testing autonomous vehicles since 2009 and currently operates limited commercial robotaxi services in select cities. Tesla has promoted its Full Self-Driving software as a pathway to robotaxis, while Zoox is developing purpose-built autonomous vehicles. The industry faces significant technical challenges around safety, regulatory approval from transportation authorities, and public acceptance of driverless vehicles on public roads.",
        "brand_context_used": false
      },
      "distribution_calibrated": [
        {
          "option": "Waymo has been at it longer and is more cautious",
          "count": 1880,
          "pct": 94
        },
        {
          "option": "Alphabet's money and patience",
          "count": 46,
          "pct": 2.3
        },
        {
          "option": "Regulators are giving Waymo a pass",
          "count": 35,
          "pct": 1.7
        },
        {
          "option": "The whole category is still too early to rank winners",
          "count": 25,
          "pct": 1.3
        },
        {
          "option": "Don't know enough to say",
          "count": 14,
          "pct": 0.7
        }
      ],
      "crosstabs": {
        "party": [
          {
            "label": "Democrat",
            "dist": [
              89,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              83.3,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              8.5
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Republican",
            "dist": [
              87.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              3.9
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ],
        "age": [
          {
            "label": "18–34",
            "dist": [
              89,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 626
          },
          {
            "label": "35–54",
            "dist": [
              86.5,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              5.2
            ],
            "n": 618
          },
          {
            "label": "55+",
            "dist": [
              84.5,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              7.3
            ],
            "n": 756
          }
        ],
        "gender": [
          {
            "label": "Men",
            "dist": [
              89,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8
            ],
            "n": 954
          },
          {
            "label": "Women",
            "dist": [
              84.5,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              7.3
            ],
            "n": 1046
          }
        ],
        "income": [
          {
            "label": "Under $25k",
            "dist": [
              81,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              10.7
            ],
            "n": 470
          },
          {
            "label": "$25k–$75k",
            "dist": [
              84.9,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              6.9
            ],
            "n": 681
          },
          {
            "label": "$75k–$150k",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 396
          },
          {
            "label": "$150k+",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 453
          }
        ],
        "education": [
          {
            "label": "HS or less",
            "dist": [
              81.7,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              10
            ],
            "n": 752
          },
          {
            "label": "Some college",
            "dist": [
              88,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              2.8,
              3.7
            ],
            "n": 494
          },
          {
            "label": "College grad",
            "dist": [
              89.1,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 421
          },
          {
            "label": "Post-grad",
            "dist": [
              89.2,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7,
              2.7
            ],
            "n": 333
          }
        ],
        "party_group": [
          {
            "label": "Dem/lean D",
            "dist": [
              97.1,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              2.9
            ],
            "n": 788
          },
          {
            "label": "Independent",
            "dist": [
              90.8,
              0,
              0,
              0,
              9.2
            ],
            "n": 390
          },
          {
            "label": "Rep/lean R",
            "dist": [
              95.6,
              0.2,
              0,
              0,
              4.3
            ],
            "n": 657
          }
        ]
      },
      "signal": {
        "signal_score": 0.6273075577144003,
        "signal_label": "Strong",
        "signal_bars": 3,
        "reliability_score": 0.4,
        "reliability_label": "Medium",
        "reliability_tooltip": "Some demographic divergence detected — interpret with context.",
        "clarity_score": 0.9051279060320007,
        "clarity_label": "Clear",
        "clarity_tooltip": "A strong majority of agents aligned on this option.",
        "within_moe": false,
        "dominant_result": true,
        "not_sure_top": false
      },
      "elapsed_s": 68.7
    }
  ]
}