From the makers of Lewsearch
The Lewsearch Report
Consumer and public-opinion data from calibrated synthetic panels: published before the human benchmarks, then scored against them in public. Every issue ships with methodology, raw data, and the error we got wrong last time. Free to cite with attribution.
Issues
Released every Wednesday
Longer studies, ~4 per month.
Pulses
Posted throughout the week as news breaks
Short reactive reads, 5–10 per month.
Issues vs Pulses
- Issues release every Wednesday, pre-registered against a human benchmark. Wins and losses count.
- Pulses are timely reads when news breaks. Outcomes are appended; they are not graded.
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Issues
Released every Wednesday
Issue score tally
2 win/0 loss/1 pending
Wins and losses require a gradeable Issue with a pre-registered match to an external benchmark or vote. Pulses and instrument mismatches (e.g. Issue 01 P2/P3) count neither as wins nor losses.
2026 U.S. Senate: Pre-Registered Predictions
Five races that decide the Senate, frozen in git before fielding. Tier 1 live panels: GA Ossoff +11.5, OH Brown +18.4, TX Paxton +10.7. Tier 2 directional: NC Cooper +3.3, ME Collins +31.9. Scored against certified results in November.
Back-to-School 2026: America's First Agentic Shopping Season
6,500 simulated Americans on school spending and AI shopping, with spending predictions frozen before NRF's 2026 human benchmark and scored in public after NRF's July 14 release.
Prince George's County: the Data-Center Moratorium
County-level read published before the July 7 Council vote. 94.9% supported the two-year pause; council passed it the next day.
Upcoming
- August 6, 2026 · Issue 04 — topic TBD
- August 13, 2026 · Issue 05 — topic TBD
Pulses
Posted throughout the week as news breaks
71.7% see unproven AI bet
Tesla Q2 2026: Revenue Up, Trust Split
Reactive national read after Tesla's Q2 earnings and the brand-trust debate trending on LinkedIn. n=2,000 U.S. adults.
90.8% back a pause
Data Centers and the Columbus Electric Bill
1,000 simulated central Ohio residents on data centers, electric bills, and who should pay for the grid. Published before the July 22 Columbus City Council hearing.
48% not very likely vs 45% somewhat
Waymo Expands While Rivals Lag
Would Americans actually ride a driverless taxi? A coin-flip split masks a sharp partisan gap. n=2,000 national panel.
84.4% way too high
Blue Origin at $130B: Ohio Says Too High
84% of Ohio panel respondents say $130B is way too high for what Blue Origin has delivered. n=2,000 Ohio live panel.
1 · Simulated, disclosed
Findings come from Lewsearch's synthetic panels: AI respondents grounded in U.S. census demographics and calibrated against real surveys. No humans are interviewed, and every page says so.
2 · Predict, then verify
Where a human benchmark exists (NRF, Pew, election results, council votes), we publish first, freeze the numbers, and append a public scorecard when the ground truth lands.
3 · Published error
The pipeline runs at 7.47% pooled mean absolute error across 460 cross-validated benchmark questions. Full methodology →
Citing this data
All findings are free to republish with attribution to “The Lewsearch Report” and a link to the piece. Describe the data as a calibrated synthetic panel with published error rates, not a traditional human survey. Press inquiries: jeffrey@lewsearch.com